@article {Cramer2021,
	title = {Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States},
	journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
	volume = {119},
	number = {15},
	year = {2022},
	pages = {e2113561119},
	url = {https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2113561119},
	author = {Estee Y. Cramer and Evan L. Ray and Velma K. Lopez and Johannes Bracher and Andrea Brennen and Alvaro J. Castro Rivadeneira and Aaron Gerding and Tilmann Gneiting and Katie H. House and Yuxin Huang and Dasuni Jayawardena and Abdul H. Kanji and Ayush Khandelwal and Khoa Le and Anja M{\"u}hlemann and Jarad Niemi and Apurv Shah and Ariane Stark and Yijin Wang and Nutcha Wattanachit and Martha W. Zorn and Youyang Gu and Sansiddh Jain and Nayana Bannur and Ayush Deva and Mihir Kulkarni and Srujana Merugu and Alpan Raval and Siddhant Shingi and Avtansh Tiwari and Jerome White and Neil F. Abernethy and Spencer Woody and Maytal Dahan and Spencer Fox and Kelly Gaither and Michael Lachmann and Lauren Ancel Meyers and James G. Scott and Mauricio Tec and Ajitesh Srivastava and Glover E. George and Jeffrey C. Cegan and Ian D. Dettwiller and William P. England and Matthew W. Farthing and Robert H. Hunter and Brandon Lafferty and Igor Linkov and Michael L. Mayo and Matthew D. Parno and Michael A. Rowland and Benjamin D. Trump and Yanli Zhang-James and Samuel Chen and Stephen V. Faraone and Jonathan Hess and Christopher P. Morley and Asif Salekin and Dongliang Wang and Sabrina M. Corsetti and Thomas M. Baer and Marisa C. Eisenberg and Karl Falb and Yitao Huang and Emily T. Martin and Ella McCauley and Robert L. Myers and Tom Schwarz and Daniel Sheldon and Graham Casey Gibson and Rose Yu and Liyao Gao and Yian Ma and Dongxia Wu and Xifeng Yan and Xiaoyong Jin and Yu-Xiang Wang and YangQuan Chen and Lihong Guo and Yanting Zhao and Quanquan Gu and Jinghui Chen and Lingxiao Wang and Pan Xu and Weitong Zhang and Difan Zou and Hannah Biegel and Joceline Lega and Steve McConnell and V. P. Nagraj and Stephanie L. Guertin and Christopher Hulme-Lowe and Stephen D. Turner and Yunfeng Shi and Xuegang Ban and Robert Walraven and Qi-Jun Hong and Stanley Kong and Axel van de Walle and James A. Turtle and Michal Ben-Nun and Steven Riley and Pete Riley and Ugur Koyluoglu and David DesRoches and Pedro Forli and Bruce Hamory and Christina Kyriakides and Helen Leis and John Milliken and Michael Moloney and James Morgan and Ninad Nirgudkar and Gokce Ozcan and Noah Piwonka and Matt Ravi and Chris Schrader and Elizabeth Shakhnovich and Daniel Siegel and Ryan Spatz and Chris Stiefeling and Barrie Wilkinson and Alexander Wong and Sean Cavany and Guido Espa{\~n}a and Sean Moore and Rachel Oidtman and Alex Perkins and David Kraus and Andrea Kraus and Zhifeng Gao and Jiang Bian and Wei Cao and Juan Lavista Ferres and Chaozhuo Li and Tie-Yan Liu and Xing Xie and Shun Zhang and Shun Zheng and Alessandro Vespignani and Matteo Chinazzi and Jessica T. Davis and Kunpeng Mu and Ana Pastore y Piontti and Xinyue Xiong and Andrew Zheng and Jackie Baek and Vivek Farias and Andreea Georgescu and Retsef Levi and Deeksha Sinha and Joshua Wilde and Georgia Perakis and Mohammed Amine Bennouna and David Nze-Ndong and Divya Singhvi and Ioannis Spantidakis and Leann Thayaparan and Asterios Tsiourvas and Arnab Sarker and Ali Jadbabaie and Devavrat Shah and Nicolas Della Penna and Leo A. Celi and Saketh Sundar and Russ Wolfinger and Dave Osthus and Lauren Castro and Geoffrey Fairchild and Isaac Michaud and Dean Karlen and Matt Kinsey and Luke C. Mullany and Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett and Lauren Shin and Katharine Tallaksen and Shelby Wilson and Elizabeth C. Lee and Juan Dent and Kyra H. Grantz and Alison L. Hill and Joshua Kaminsky and Kathryn Kaminsky and Lindsay T. Keegan and Stephen A. Lauer and Joseph C. Lemaitre and Justin Lessler and Hannah R. Meredith and Javier Perez-Saez and Sam Shah and Claire P. Smith and Shaun A. Truelove and Josh Wills and Maximilian Marshall and Lauren Gardner and Kristen Nixon and John C. Burant and Lily Wang and Lei Gao and Zhiling Gu and Myungjin Kim and Xinyi Li and Guannan Wang and Yueying Wang and Shan Yu and Robert C. Reiner and Ryan Barber and Emmanuela Gakidou and Simon I. Hay and Steve Lim and Chris Murray and David Pigott and Heidi L. Gurung and Prasith Baccam and Steven A. Stage and Bradley T. Suchoski and B. Aditya Prakash and Bijaya Adhikari and Jiaming Cui and Alexander Rodr{\'\i}guez and Anika Tabassum and Jiajia Xie and Pinar Keskinocak and John Asplund and Arden Baxter and Buse Eylul Oruc and Nicoleta Serban and Sercan O. Arik and Mike Dusenberry and Arkady Epshteyn and Elli Kanal and Long T. Le and Chun-Liang Li and Tomas Pfister and Dario Sava and Rajarishi Sinha and Thomas Tsai and Nate Yoder and Jinsung Yoon and Leyou Zhang and Sam Abbott and Nikos I. Bosse and Sebastian Funk and Joel Hellewell and Sophie R. Meakin and Katharine Sherratt and Mingyuan Zhou and Rahi Kalantari and Teresa K. Yamana and Sen Pei and Jeffrey Shaman and Michael L. Li and Dimitris Bertsimas and Omar Skali Lami and Saksham Soni and Hamza Tazi Bouardi and Turgay Ayer and Madeline Adee and Jagpreet Chhatwal and Ozden O. Dalgic and Mary A. Ladd and Benjamin P. Linas and Peter Mueller and Jade Xiao and Yuanjia Wang and Qinxia Wang and Shanghong Xie and Donglin Zeng and Alden Green and Jacob Bien and Logan Brooks and Addison J. Hu and Maria Jahja and Daniel McDonald and Balasubramanian Narasimhan and Collin Politsch and Samyak Rajanala and Aaron Rumack and Noah Simon and Ryan J. Tibshirani and Rob Tibshirani and Valerie Ventura and Larry Wasserman and Eamon B. O{\textquoteright}Dea and John M. Drake and Robert Pagano and Quoc T. Tran and Lam Si Tung Ho and Huong Huynh and Jo W. Walker and Rachel B. Slayton and Michael A. Johansson and Matthew Biggerstaff and Nicholas G. Reich}
}
