@article {McDonaldShalizi2016,
	title = {Nonparametric risk bounds for time-series forecasting},
	journal = {Journal of Machine Learning Research},
	volume = {18},
	number = {32},
	year = {2017},
	pages = {1{\textendash}40},
	url = {http://www.jmlr.org/papers/v18/13-336.html},
	author = {McDonald, D. J. and Shalizi, Cosma Rohilla and Schervish, Mark}
}
